Saturday, October 21, 2023

Gun control rhetoric ignores the reality

 Homicide rates vary by race.

During 2022, the national firearm homicide rate decreased for the first time since the sharp increase from 2019 to 2020. Nonetheless, the rate in 2022 (5.9 per 100,000) remained substantially higher than the 2019 rate....
The annual rate among Black persons during 2022 (27.5) was lower than that in 2021 (30.4) or 2020 (28.3) but was still substantially higher than in 2019 (20.5). Among AI/AN persons, the rate during 2022 (9.3) exceeded the rates in both 2021 (7.7) and 2020 (7.9). During 2022, the rate among Hispanic persons leveled off (5.5) but remained higher than that in 2019 (3.8). Rates among non-Hispanic White and A/PI persons, although lower, also increased from 2019 to 2021, followed by a decrease in 2022..

graph


FYI: the rate of gun homicides in Europe are about 1.


Black lives matter.

This is a danger in the inner city: and it is a threat to the teenagers trying to be good. and it often overlaps other crimes.

Not that race is always accurate of course.

and they lump Black Americans together: not separating the more recent immigrant groups from those who were descended from slaves.And one suspects the homicide rate would be higher among Somali immigrants because there is a gang problem, than among those from Africa or the West Indies. 

and a lot of this is connected with drugs: Either by gangs selling drugs, or by people who are chronic users of drugs..

and the dirty little secret is that not all deaths by firearms are homicides:

Again I turn to the Minnesota data

Homicides and homicide rates spiked in 2020—a trend also observed nationally—while other manners of violent death did not.

 what does that mean? car accidents I presume are considered by them as violent deaths? Falls? drownings>

ironically not all firearm deaths are homicides:

Firearms were used in 45% of suicide deaths, 65% of homicide deaths and 54% of inter-personal violence homicide deaths.

Most firearm deaths, 75%, were suicide. 

Minnesota has large racial disparities in suicide and homicide rates. Suicide rates in Minnesota are highest among the American Indian population, more than 70% higher than for the white population.

yes. The Indian Health Service has an aggressive outreach to fight the suicide problem on the reservations, which is often associated with drug or alcohol abuse problems.

Most people think of the reason they need gun control in the USA is mass shootings, but they are wrong.

The problem is gangs and suicide.

Many people understandably assume the high number of gun deaths in the U.S. is due to mass shootings, which receive frequent attention from the media. In truth, mass shootings account for only a small percentage of gun deaths in the United States. Rather, nearly two-thirds (63%) of gun deaths in the US in 2019 were suicides.


Again, back to the Minnesota data on gun homicide:

Homicide rates in the state are highest among the Black or African American population and the American Indian population, more than 10 times the rate of the white population.

Presumably poverty, except it is lower among the Hispanics, who tend to be poorer than these groups. Perhaps the culture of strong family connections in  Hispanic culture. 

Then we come to the anti depressant hysteria that is pushed every time a person goes amok and it is found they were on treatment. Of course, mentally ill people get treated, so is it the drugs or the mental illness? (some drugs like Prozac can exacerbate mania in bipolar people and people coming out of a depression often turn their self hatred outward and kill themselves, or attack others who the therapist assure them were the cause of their depression).

this was a problem even before modern Anti depressant medicines were available. And indeed the statistics make one wonder if it might be not enough got antidepressant treatment.

Antidepressants were found in the systems of 29.8% of females who died by suicide, compared to 12.1% in males.

Then we come to the obvious: if it is not gang or drug dealing related, it is anger within the family:

Spouses were suspected as the perpetrator in 21.1% of homicide cases where the victim was female. The victim’s boyfriend or girlfriend was suspected in an additional 15.5% of cases.

what is left out of this is a discussion of drug or acohol use that exacerbated homicides.

Drug use is behind a lot of gang murders, drug and alcohol use is a major factor in car accidents, and don''t forget the 100 thousand fentanyl deaths a year thanks to China and the Mexical cartels and the open border policies that make smuggling easy.

the problem of suicide in alcoholics has long been known.

and don't forget the problem of drug and alcohol  deaths from accidents, most commonly car accidents.

Sigh.

 

 

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